Longitudinal processes in multiple domains are often theorized to be nonlinear, which poses unique statistical challenges. Empirical researchers often select a nonlinear longitudinal model by weighing how specific the model must be regarding the nature of the nonlinearity, whether the model provides efficient estimation and interpretable coefficients. Latent basis growth models (LBGMs) are one method that can get around these tradeoffs: it does not require specification of any functional form; additionally, its estimation process is expeditious, and estimates are straightforward to interpret. We propose a novel specification for LBGMs that allows for (1) unequally-spaced study waves and (2) individual measurement occasions around each wave. We then extend LBGMs to explore multiple repeated outcomes because longitudinal processes rarely unfold in isolation. We present the proposed model by simulation studies and real-world data analyses. Our simulation studies demonstrate that the proposed model can provide unbiased and accurate estimates with target coverage probabilities of a 95% confidence interval. With the real-world analyses using longitudinal reading and mathematics scores, we demonstrate that the proposed parallel LBGM can capture the underlying developmental patterns of these two abilities and that the novel specification of LBGMs is helpful in joint development where longitudinal processes have different time structures. We also provide the corresponding code for the proposed model.
翻译:在多个领域,纵向过程往往被假定为非线性,这带来了独特的统计挑战。经验研究人员经常选择非线性纵向模型,通过权衡模型在非线性性质方面的具体特点,来选择非线性纵向模型,模型是否提供了有效的估计和可解释的系数。隐性基础增长模型(LBGMs)是能够绕过这些取舍的一种方法:它不需要任何功能形式的规格;另外,它的估算过程是快速的,估计是直截了当的解释。我们为LBGMs提出了一个新的规格,允许(1) 空间空间不均的学习波和(2) 每波的个别测量时间。我们然后扩展LBGMs,以探索多重复的结果,因为纵向过程很少孤立地展开。我们通过模拟研究和现实世界数据分析来介绍拟议的模型。我们的模拟研究表明,拟议的模型可以提供公正和准确的估计数,其目标覆盖率为95%的置信度间隔。我们用纵向读数和数学分数进行真实的分析,我们证明拟议的平行LBGMMs能够捕捉到这两种能力的基本发展模式,同时提供新的准则。