Deep decarbonization of the energy sector will require massive penetration of stochastic renewable energy resources and an enormous amount of grid asset coordination; this represents a challenging paradigm for the power system operators who are tasked with maintaining grid stability and security in the face of such changes. With its ability to learn from complex datasets and provide predictive solutions on fast timescales, machine learning (ML) is well-posed to help overcome these challenges as power systems transform in the coming decades. In this work, we outline five key challenges (dataset generation, data pre-processing, model training, model assessment, and model embedding) associated with building trustworthy ML models which learn from physics-based simulation data. We then demonstrate how linking together individual modules, each of which overcomes a respective challenge, at sequential stages in the machine learning pipeline can help enhance the overall performance of the training process. In particular, we implement methods that connect different elements of the learning pipeline through feedback, thus "closing the loop" between model training, performance assessments, and re-training. We demonstrate the effectiveness of this framework, its constituent modules, and its feedback connections by learning the N-1 small-signal stability margin associated with a detailed model of a proposed North Sea Wind Power Hub system.
翻译:能源部门的深度去碳化需要大规模渗透随机可再生能源资源和大量的电网资产协调;这对电力系统操作者来说是一个具有挑战性的范例,他们的任务是在面对这些变化时维持电网的稳定和安全。由于有能力从复杂的数据集中学习,并在快速时间尺度上提供预测性解决办法,因此机学(ML)是有充分条件帮助克服这些挑战的。在这项工作中,我们概述了五个关键挑战(数据集生成、数据预处理、模型培训、模型评估和模型嵌入),这五个挑战都与建立可靠的ML模型有关,这些模型从物理模拟数据中学习。然后我们展示如何在机器学习管道的连续阶段将每个单元联系起来,克服各自的挑战,从而帮助提高培训过程的总体绩效。特别是,我们采用各种方法,通过反馈将学习管道的不同元素连接起来,从而在示范培训、绩效评估和再培训之间“缩小循环”。我们展示了这一框架、其组成模块的有效性,并通过学习N-1型系统的详细型式的海中链 — — 与拟议的北海中斷系统连接。