Spatial small area estimation models have become very popular in some contexts, such as disease mapping. Data in disease mapping studies are exhaustive, that is, the available data are supposed to be a complete register of all the observable events. In contrast, some other small area studies do not use exhaustive data, such as survey based studies, where a particular sampling design is typically followed and inferences are later extrapolated to the entire population. In this paper we propose a spatial model for small area survey studies, taking advantage of spatial dependence between units, which is the key assumption used for yielding reliable estimates in exhaustive data based studies. In addition, and in contrast to most spatial survey studies, we take the approach of also considering information on the sampling design and additional supplementary variables in order to yield small area estimates. This makes it possible to merge spatial and sampling based approaches into a common proposal
翻译:疾病绘图研究中的数据是详尽无遗的,也就是说,现有数据应该是所有可观测事件的完整登记册;相反,其他一些小地区研究没有使用详尽无遗的数据,例如调查研究,通常采用特定的抽样设计,然后对整个人口进行推断;在本文中,我们利用各单位之间的空间依赖性,提出小地区调查研究的空间模型,这是在详尽无遗的基于数据的研究中得出可靠估计数的关键假设;此外,与大多数空间调查研究不同,我们采取的方法是,也考虑关于抽样设计和补充变量的信息,以便得出小面积估计数。