Global sensitivity analysis aims at measuring the relative importance of different variables or groups of variables for the variability of a quantity of interest. Among several sensitivity indices, so-called Shapley effects have recently gained popularity mainly because the Shapley effects for all the individual variables are summed up to the overall variance, which gives a better interpretability than the classical sensitivity indices called main effects and total effects. In this paper, assuming that all the input variables are independent, we introduce a quite simple Monte Carlo algorithm to estimate the Shapley effects for all the individual variables simultaneously, which drastically simplifies the existing algorithms proposed in the literature. We present a short Matlab implementation of our algorithm and show some numerical results. A possible extension to the case where the input variables are dependent is also discussed.
翻译:全球敏感度分析旨在衡量不同变数或不同组变数的相对重要性,以判断兴趣程度的可变性。在若干敏感指数中,所谓的“变相效应”最近越来越受欢迎,主要是因为对所有个别变数的“变相效应”归总差异,这比古典敏感度指数(称为“主要效应”和“总效应”)更能解释。在本文中,假设所有输入变量都是独立的,我们引入了一个非常简单的蒙特卡洛算法,以同时估计所有个别变数的“变相效应”,这大大简化了文献中提议的现有算法。我们简短地介绍了我们算法的Matlab实施情况,并展示了一些数字结果。也讨论了投入变量取决于的情况的可能延伸。