I develop a methodology to partially identify linear combinations of conditional mean outcomes when the researcher only has access to aggregate data. Unlike the existing literature, I only allow for marginal, not joint, distributions of covariates in my model of aggregate data. Bounds are obtained by solving an optimization program and can easily accommodate additional polyhedral shape restrictions. I provide an empirical illustration of the method to Rhode Island standardized exam data.
翻译:本文提出了一种方法,用于在研究者仅能获取聚合数据时,对条件均值结果的线性组合进行部分识别。与现有文献不同,本模型仅允许协变量的边际分布(而非联合分布)出现在聚合数据模型中。通过求解一个优化程序获得边界,并可轻松纳入额外的多面体形状约束。本文以罗德岛标准化考试数据为例,对该方法进行了实证说明。