Reservoir computing is a machine learning approach that can generate a surrogate model of a dynamical system. It can learn the underlying dynamical system using fewer trainable parameters and hence smaller training data sets than competing approaches. Recently, a simpler formulation, known as next-generation reservoir computing, removes many algorithm metaparameters and identifies a well-performing traditional reservoir computer, thus simplifying training even further. Here, we study a particularly challenging problem of learning a dynamical system that has both disparate time scales and multiple co-existing dynamical states (attractors). We compare the next-generation and traditional reservoir computer using metrics quantifying the geometry of the ground-truth and forecasted attractors. For the studied four-dimensional system, the next-generation reservoir computing approach uses $\sim 1.7 \times$ less training data, requires $10^3 \times$ shorter `warm up' time, has fewer metaparameters, and has an $\sim 100\times$ higher accuracy in predicting the co-existing attractor characteristics in comparison to a traditional reservoir computer. Furthermore, we demonstrate that it predicts the basin of attraction with high accuracy. This work lends further support to the superior learning ability of this new machine learning algorithm for dynamical systems.
翻译:储量计算是一种机器学习方法,可以产生动态系统的替代模型。它可以使用较少的可训练参数来学习基本动态系统,因此比竞争方法更小的培训数据集。最近,一个更简单的配方,称为下一代储油层计算,删除了许多算法元参数,并找出一个功能良好的传统储油层计算机,从而进一步简化培训。在这里,我们研究一个特别具有挑战性的问题,即学习一个动态系统,该系统具有不同的时间尺度和多种共同存在的动态状态(吸引器),我们用量化地面真相和预测吸引器几何测量的计量标准来比较下一代和传统储油层计算机。对于研究的四维系统,下一代储油层计算方法使用美元1.7美元,减去培训数据,需要10美元3美元, 美元, 更短的“暖”时间,较少的元参数,在预测与传统储油层计算机相比的共存在的吸引器特性方面,我们比较下一代和传统储油层计算机的精确度,比较了下一代和传统储油层计算机。此外,我们证明下一代储油层计算方法使用1美元,用来预测新的动态系统的高精确度,我们预测了这种系统学习能力。