区域科技创新景气指数构建的理论与方法研究

项目名称： 区域科技创新景气指数构建的理论与方法研究

项目编号： No.71273025

项目类型： 面上项目

立项/批准年度： 2013

项目学科： 管理科学

项目作者： 杨武

作者单位： 北京科技大学

项目金额： 54万元

中文摘要： 随着区域创新系统（RIS）概念成为制订区域创新政策的基础分析框架，推动了学术界和政府对区域创新发展状况的指数测度研究。但是目前的各种区域创新指数主要是基于创新能力和创新绩效构建的指数，存在如下缺陷：缺乏动态性和时效性，指标宽泛，特色指标缺乏，对科技创新政策的引导作用不强。本项目基于景气状态构建科技创新景气指数，从理论上，研究区域科技创新景气指数构建的理论基础；从方法上：构建 "过程－结构－时序"三维结构的景气指标分析模型（PST模型）；从工具上：研究基于合成指数与SW指数的区域科技创新指数构建方法与工具选择；从实践上：构建一套完整基于季度数据测度的区域科技创新景气指数。该研究有助于区域科技创新政策的制定、调整和科技资源的配置；有助于弥补在测度科技创新活动景气方面的研究落后于经济景气领域的不足。这对目前正处于促进经济发展方式转变、促进我国创新型国家、创新型城市的建设，具有重要的意义。

中文关键词： 科技创新；景气指数；创新周期；机理研究；测度方法

英文摘要： With the Regional Innovation System (RIS) concept becoming the basic analytical framework of the development of regional innovation policy, it promotes the index measure research of both academia and government on the innovation and development in the region. But nowadays a variety of regional innovation index is based on the innovative capacity and innovation performance index. There are the following shortcomings: lacking of dynamic and timeliness of broad indicators, lacking of characteristics of indicators. The guidence to technological innovation policy is not clear. The project is building scientific and technological innovation climate index based on the boom state. Theoretically, it studies the regional scientific and technological innovation climate index. Methodologically, it builds the analytical model of three-dimensional structure of the "Process-Structure-Timing" sentiment indicator (PST model). It studies the construction method and tool selection based on the composite index and the SW index of regional science and technology innovation index in terms of tools. In practice, it constructs a regional scientific and technological innovation index which is based on quarterly data measure. The research is aim to help formulating and adjusting the regional scientific technological innovation policy and

英文关键词： Technological innovation；Climate index；Innovation cycle；Mechanism research；Measurement method