基于中外比较及博弈分析的政府统计组织与改革研究

项目名称： 基于中外比较及博弈分析的政府统计组织与改革研究

项目编号： No.71463052

项目类型： 地区科学基金项目

立项/批准年度： 2015

项目学科： 管理科学

项目作者： 林勇

作者单位： 西北师范大学

项目金额： 35万元

中文摘要： 统计数据质量不高，一直是公众高度关注、统计部门头痛的难题。寻求新的改革构想，是统计学家孜孜以求的目标。国外的研究和改革实践表明，统计组织改革是提升数据质量的有效手段。国内研究表明，统计组织改革是关键，但已有的改革构想论证单薄，且回避改革的利益分析，可信性和可行性不高。 我们的结题国家自然科学基金项目《在统计数据生产博弈影响下的政府统计及其改革研究》（70963011）中证实，中国统计组织的内外关系复杂，是数据质量不高的基本原因之一；中国统计数据生产有其特殊性。 本项目以统计组织的内外环境分析为基本手段，探索具有中国统计发展经验支持、同时吸收国外部分统计组织改革经验和考虑统计博弈均衡的统计组织改革构想。首次提出统计组织改革的主方向是简化，这既有系统认识统计组织环境、创新统计改革研究的方法意义，又有消解统计数据质量不高的组织成因、推动政府统计组织改革深化的应用前景。

中文关键词： 政府统计组织；环境；比较；博弈分析；组织改革

英文摘要： The low quality of chinese government statistical data is always a difficult problem for the government statistics departments and it has got the public's high attention and it is statisticians diligently strive after goal to seek new plans of reform of statistical organizations. That foreign research and reform practices have showed, reform of statistical organizations is an effective means to enhance the quality of the data. The domestic research have showed, the reform of statistical organization is the key, but some ideas or plans of reform has thin demonstration, and avoidance discussion of the benefits of reform, so their credibility and feasibility is not high. Our National Natural Science Fund Project government statistics and it's reform：under the impacts of statistical data production games (70963011) confirmed that complex internal and external relationships of statistical organizations is one of the basic causes of the low data quality; China statistical data production is particularity. This project will take statistical organization internal and external environment analysis as the basic method, to explore with China statistical development experience, absorb foreign statistical organization reform experience and consider game equilibrium of China statistical organization reform.This project First proposed the main direction of the organization of the reform is to simplify.This research project has both significance of system understanding of the statistical organization environments, the reseach method innovation, And application prospect in planning of statistical development, eliminating organizational origin of the data quality problem, effectively promote the government statistics reform deepen.

英文关键词： government statistical organizations;environments;comparison;game anlysis;organization reform