项目名称: 面向复杂不确定型决策的案例决策分析理论与方法研究
项目编号: No.71271051
项目类型: 面上项目
立项/批准年度: 2013
项目学科: 管理科学
项目作者: 樊治平
作者单位: 东北大学
项目金额: 55万元
中文摘要: 面向复杂不确定型决策的案例决策分析理论与方法研究是根据目前国内外决策理论与方法研究发展动态和管理决策实践提炼出来的、具有前沿性和探索性的新课题,因为它不仅具有大量的实际背景,而且具有理论研究意义和实际应用价值。本项目的主要研究内容是:研究面向复杂不确定型决策的案例决策分析理论框架,提出相似决策案例的提取方法、基于相似案例分析的决策行动方案选择方法和案例决策分析支持系统的构建方法;进一步地,以现实中若干典型的不确定型决策问题为实际背景,进行有针对性的案例决策分析理论与方法的应用研究。本项目的研究目的在于:提出并建立为解决复杂不确定型决策问题的案例决策分析理论、方法与技术,取得具有创新性的高水平研究成果,弥补目前采用已有决策分析方法解决不确定型决策问题的困难与不足。
中文关键词: 不确定型决策;案例决策分析;相似度;行动方案选择;
英文摘要: Research project on case-based decision theory and method for complicated and uncertain decision-making is proposed considering research trends on decision theory and method, and practice in management decision at home and abroad. There are both theoretical meaning and practical significance in researching this cutting-edge and exploratory project. We will propose case-based decision theoretical framework for complicated and uncertain decision-making, method for extracting similar decision cases, method for selecting decision alternatives based on analysis of similar decision cases and method for constructing case-based decision support system. Furthermore, we will do some research to solve typical decision problems in practice. The aims of the project are: proposing case-based decision analysis theory, method and techniques for solving complicated and uncertain decision problems, achieving high level and creative research fruits, and making up for the difficulties and insufficiency of applying the existing behavioral decision method to solving uncertain decision problems.
英文关键词: Uncertain decision-making;Cased-based decision analysis;Similarity degree;Action selection;