突发自组织群体异常行为的心理分析与识别方法研究

项目名称： 突发自组织群体异常行为的心理分析与识别方法研究

项目编号： No.71203229

项目类型： 青年科学基金项目

立项/批准年度： 2013

项目学科： 宏观管理与政策

项目作者： 陈鹏

作者单位： 中国人民公安大学

项目金额： 19万元

中文摘要： 突发自组织群体异常行为在宏观上表现为群体规模的聚集、扩大和爆发,具有群体非理性行为趋同的特征，在微观上则表现为个体情绪的传染和行为的模仿，在整个事件的发展过程中群体的心理变化发挥着重要的作用。本课题以突发事件现场群体成员的心理分析为切入点，采取多学科交叉的途径，利用心理学、社会学、认知学理论提供的异常行为捕捉、统计分析和系统仿真等方法开展以下研究工作：（1）研究不同场景下群体对突发事件的关注心理，分析引发群体聚集效应的关键要素；（2）基于社会属性对群体成员心理的影响，分析群体成员参与和推动事态扩大的心理变化过程，研究群体成员的结构分类属性；（3）分析现场信息缺失条件下信息误差对群体成员的激化心理以及触发异常行为的作用机制，确定群体行为形成的临界作用条件。该研究将为突发自组织群体性事件的现场分析和应急决策提供理论基础和技术支持。

中文关键词： 群体行为；心理分析；模拟仿真；情景-应对；应急监测

英文摘要： Emergency self-organized collective abnormal behavior has various demonstrations in different levels. In macro level, the features include a great deal of members crowding, enlarging and covergence of irrational actions onsetting. However in micro level, it concentrates on individual's emotion contagious and behavior imitation. But no matter how it varies, during the whole evolution process the group psychology plays inportant role. In our work, by focusing on the individual psychology in group events, we use multidisciplinary theories like sociology, psychology, cognitive and some methods as abnormal behavior identification, statistic analysis and system simulation to do the following work: (1) studying how people reacting to emergency events in various backcolthes, and how this reacting psychology trigger crowding behaviors; (2) analyzing how social attributes influence psychology of individuals and whether this kind of influence could make people take part into the expanding of the situation, studying what categories the individuals belong to based on their psychology and identity; (3) studying how information error trigger individual's anger and annormal behaviors in the background of incomplete information, researching how group norms pressure is produced and its critical condition. Our research work wil

英文关键词： group behaviors；psychology analysis；simulation；dynamic evolution；emergency supervision