In [arXiv:1906.10951 (forthcoming on Advances in Applied Probability),arXiv:2011.05933 (published on PLOS ONE)] the authors introduce, study and apply a new variant of the Eggenberger-Polya urn, called the "Rescaled" Polya urn, which, for a suitable choice of the model parameters, is characterized by the following features: (i) a "local" reinforcement, i.e. a reinforcement mechanism mainly based on the last observations, (ii) a random persistent fluctuation of the predictive mean, and (iii) a long-term almost sure convergence of the empirical mean to a deterministic limit, together with a chi-squared goodness of fit result for the limit probabilities. In this work, motivated by some empirical evidences in [arXiv:2011.05933 (published on PLOS ONE)], we show that the multidimensional Wright-Fisher diffusion with mutation can be obtained as a suitable limit of the predictive means associated to a family of rescaled Polya urns
翻译:在[arXiv:1906.10951(即将在应用概率方面的进展上发表),arXiv:2011.05933(公布于SPLOS 中,作者介绍、研究和应用称为“重新标度”Polica URn的Eggenberger-Polya urn(称为“重新标定”Polya URN)的新变体,该变体的特征是: (一)“局部”强化,即主要基于最后观察结果的强化机制,arXiv:1906.10951(即将公布于应用概率的进步上),arXiv:2011.05933(公布于SPLOS one)中的一些经验性证据,我们表明,与突变相关的多层面 Wright-Fisher扩散可以作为与重新标定的聚氨有关的预测手段的适当限度获得。