In clinical or epidemiological follow-up studies, methods based on time scale indicators such as the restricted mean survival time (RMST) have been developed to some extent. Compared with traditional hazard rate indicator system methods, the RMST is easier to interpret and does not require the proportional hazard assumption. To date, regression models based on the RMST are indirect or direct models of the RMST and baseline covariates. However, time-dependent covariates are becoming increasingly common in follow-up studies. Based on the inverse probability of censoring weighting (IPCW) method, we developed a regression model of the RMST and time-dependent covariates. Through Monte Carlo simulation, we verified the estimation performance of the regression parameters of the proposed model. Compared with the time-dependent Cox model and the fixed (baseline) covariate RMST model, the time-dependent RMST model has a better prediction ability. Finally, an example of heart transplantation was used to verify the above conclusions.
翻译:在临床或流行病学后续研究中,已经在某种程度上根据时间尺度指标(如有限平均存活时间(RMST))制定了方法。与传统的危险率指标系统方法相比,RMST更容易解释,也不要求相应的危险假设。到目前为止,基于RMST的回归模型是RMST和基线共变模型的间接或直接模型。然而,在后续研究中,基于时间的共变式越来越常见。根据审查加权方法(IPCW)的反常概率,我们开发了RMST和基于时间的共变变量的回归模型。我们通过蒙特卡洛模拟,核实了拟议模型回归参数的估计性能。与基于时间的Cox模型和固定(基线)共变模型相比,基于时间的RMST模型具有更好的预测能力。最后,使用了心脏移植的例子来核实上述结论。