To discover new drugs is to seek and to prove causality. As an emerging approach leveraging human knowledge and creativity, data, and machine intelligence, causal inference holds the promise of reducing cognitive bias and improving decision making in drug discovery. While it has been applied across the value chain, the concepts and practice of causal inference remain obscure to many practitioners. This article offers a non-technical introduction to causal inference, reviews its recent applications, and discusses opportunities and challenges of adopting the causal language in drug discovery and development.
翻译:发现新药物是寻找和证明因果关系。作为利用人类知识和创造力、数据和机器智能的一种新兴方法,因果推论有望减少认知偏差,改善毒品发现的决策。尽管在价值链中已经应用,但因果推论的概念和做法对许多从业者来说仍然模糊不清。本条款对因果推论作了非技术性的介绍,审查了其最近的应用,并讨论了在毒品发现和开发中采用因果语言的机会和挑战。