In the area of urban transportation networks, a growing number of day-to-day (DTD) traffic dynamic theories have been proposed to describe the network flow evolution, and an increasing amount of laboratory experiments have been conducted to observe travelers' behavior regularities. However, the "communication" between theorists and experimentalists has not been made well. This paper devotes to 1) detecting unanticipated behavior regularities by conducting a series of laboratory experiments, and 2) improving existing DTD dynamics theories by embedding the observed behavior regularities into a route choice model. First, 312 subjects participated in one of the eight decision-making scenarios and make route choices repeatedly in congestible parallel-route networks. Second, three route-switching behavior patterns that cannot be fully explained by the classic route-choice models are observed. Third, to enrich the explanation power of a discrete route-choice model, behavioral assumptions of route-dependent attractions, i.e., route-dependent inertia and preference, are introduced. An analytical DTD dynamic model is accordingly proposed and proven to steadily converge to a unique equilibrium state. Finally, the proposed DTD model could satisfactorily reproduce the observations in various datasets. The research results can help transportation science theorists to make the best use of laboratory experimentation and to build network equilibrium or DTD dynamic models with both real behavioral basis and neat mathematical properties.
翻译:在城市交通网络领域,提出了越来越多的日常交通动态理论,以描述网络流量演变,并进行了越来越多的实验室实验,以观察旅行者的行为规律。然而,理论家和实验家之间的“沟通”并没有很好地完成。本文致力于通过进行一系列实验室实验来发现意外行为规律,以及(2)通过将观察到的行为规律纳入路线选择模式来改进现有的DTD动态理论。首先,有312个主题参与了八个决策假设之一,并在可兼容的平行路线网络中反复作出路线选择。第二,观察到经典路线选择模型无法充分解释的三种路线转换行为模式。第三,丰富离散路线选择模型的解释力,引入了依赖路线的吸引物的行为假设,即依赖路线的惯性与偏好。因此,提出了分析性的DTD动态模型,并被证明可以稳步地与独特的平衡状态相融合。最后,拟议的DTD模型可以令人满意地复制模型,或者在各种实验性模型中,将最佳的实验性模型复制到各种实验性模型。</s>