Functional decision theory (FDT) is a fairly new mode of decision theory and a normative viewpoint on how an agent should maximize expected utility. The current standard in decision theory and computer science is causal decision theory (CDT), largely seen as superior to the main alternative evidential decision theory (EDT). These theories prescribe three distinct methods for maximizing utility. We explore how FDT differs from CDT and EDT, and what implications it has on the behavior of FDT agents and humans. It has been shown in previous research how FDT can outperform CDT and EDT. We additionally show FDT performing well on more classical game theory problems and argue for its extension to human problems to show that its potential for superiority is robust. We also make FDT more concrete by displaying it in an evolutionary environment, competing directly against other theories.
翻译:功能决定理论(FDT)是决定理论的一种相当新的模式,也是关于代理人应如何最大限度地发挥预期效用的规范观点。目前决策理论和计算机科学的标准是因果决定理论(CDT),基本上被视为优于主要替代证据决定理论(EDT)。这些理论规定了最大限度发挥效用的三种不同方法。我们探讨了FDT与CDT和ETT有何不同,以及它对FDT代理人和人类行为有何影响。以前的研究显示,FDT如何优于CDT和ETT。我们进一步展示了FDT在更典型的游戏理论问题上表现得非常好,并主张将其扩大到人类问题,以表明其优越性的潜力是强大的。我们还通过在进化环境中展示FDT,使其与其他理论直接竞争,使FDT更加具体化。