This article provides a curated review of selected papers published in prominent economics journals that use machine learning (ML) tools for research and policy analysis. The review focuses on three key questions: (1) when ML is used in economics, (2) what ML models are commonly preferred, and (3) how they are used for economic applications. The review highlights that ML is particularly used to process nontraditional and unstructured data, capture strong nonlinearity, and improve prediction accuracy. Deep learning models are suitable for nontraditional data, whereas ensemble learning models are preferred for traditional datasets. While traditional econometric models may suffice for analyzing low-complexity data, the increasing complexity of economic data due to rapid digitalization and the growing literature suggests that ML is becoming an essential addition to the econometrician's toolbox.
翻译:本文对发表在知名经济学期刊上的使用机器学习(Machine Learning,ML)工具进行研究和政策分析的精选论文进行了综述。该综述关注三个关键问题:(1)在何时使用ML在经济学中,(2)常用的ML模型是什么,以及(3)如何将其用于经济应用。综述强调,ML特别适用于处理非传统和非结构化数据,捕捉强非线性性,并提高预测准确性。深度学习模型适用于非传统数据,而集成学习模型则适用于传统数据集。虽然传统的计量经济学模型可以满足分析低复杂度数据的要求,但经济数据由于快速数字化和快速增长的文献而变得越来越复杂,这使得机器学习成为计量经济学家必需的工具之一。