In recent years, bike-sharing systems have been deployed in many cities, which provide an economical lifestyle. With the prevalence of bike-sharing systems, a lot of companies join the market, leading to increasingly fierce competition. To be competitive, bike-sharing companies and app developers need to make strategic decisions for mobile apps development. Therefore, it is significant to predict and compare the popularity of different bike-sharing apps. However, existing works mostly focus on predicting the popularity of a single app, the popularity contest among different apps has not been explored yet. In this paper, we aim to forecast the popularity contest between Mobike and Ofo, two most popular bike-sharing apps in China. We develop CompetitiveBike, a system to predict the popularity contest among bike-sharing apps. Moreover, we conduct experiments on real-world datasets collected from 11 app stores and Sina Weibo, and the experiments demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach.
翻译:近年来,许多城市都安装了自行车共享系统,这些系统提供了经济的生活方式。随着自行车共享系统的普及,许多公司都进入了市场,导致竞争日益激烈。为了具有竞争力,自行车共享公司和软件开发商需要做出移动应用程序开发的战略决定。因此,预测和比较不同自行车共享应用程序的普及程度非常重要。然而,现有工作主要侧重于预测单一应用程序的普及程度,不同应用程序之间的普及性竞赛尚未探索。在本文中,我们的目标是预测Mobike和Ofo之间的流行性竞争,这是中国最受欢迎的两个自行车共享应用程序。我们开发了CertalBike,这是一个预测自行车共享应用程序之间流行性竞赛的系统。此外,我们还对从11个应用程序商店和Sina Weibo收集的实时数据集进行了实验,实验也证明了我们的方法的有效性。