It is argued that there is a need for fat-tailed distributions that become thin in the extreme tail. A 3-parameter distribution is introduced that visually resembles the t-distribution and interpolates between the normal distribution and the Cauchy distribution. It is fat-tailed, but has all moments finite, and the moment-generating function exists. It would be useful as an alternative to the t-distribution for a sensitivity analysis to check the robustness of results or for computations where finite moments are needed, such as in option-pricing. It can be motivated probabilistically in at least two ways, either as the random thinning of a long-tailed distribution, or as random variation of the variance of a normal distribution. Its properties are described, algorithms for random-number generation are provided, and examples of its use in data-fitting given. Some related distributions are also discussed, including asymmetric and multivariate distributions.
翻译:辩论认为,需要将脂肪尾部的分布变薄,在极端尾巴中变薄。引入的3参数分布与正常分布和Cauchy分布之间的 t分布和内插相近,是脂肪尾部和内插的,是脂肪尾部的,但具有所有时间的限定和瞬时生成功能。它作为T分布的替代方法,有助于进行敏感性分析,以检查结果的稳健性,或计算需要有限时刻的计算,如选择定价。它至少可以两种方式有动机,即长尾部分布的随机稀释,或正常分布差异的随机变化。描述其特性,提供随机数字生成的算法,并举例说明其用于数据配置。还讨论了一些相关的分布,包括不对称和多变分布。