Cause-effect relationships are typically evaluated by comparing outcome responses to binary treatment values, representing two arms of a hypothetical randomized controlled trial. However, in certain applications, treatments of interest are continuous and multidimensional. For example, understanding the causal relationship between severity of radiation therapy, summarized by a multidimensional vector of radiation exposure values and post-treatment side effects is a problem of clinical interest in radiation oncology. An appropriate strategy for making interpretable causal conclusions is to reduce the dimension of treatment. If individual elements of a multidimensional treatment vector weakly affect the outcome, but the overall relationship between treatment and outcome is strong, careless approaches to dimension reduction may not preserve this relationship. Further, methods developed for regression problems do not directly transfer to causal inference due to confounding complications. In this paper, we use semiparametric inference theory for structural models to give a general approach to causal sufficient dimension reduction of a multidimensional treatment such that the cause-effect relationship between treatment and outcome is preserved. We illustrate the utility of our proposals through simulations and a real data application in radiation oncology.
翻译:通常通过将结果反应与二元治疗值进行比较来评价因果关系,这是假设随机控制的试验的两部分,但在某些应用中,感兴趣的处理是连续的和多层面的。例如,了解辐射疗法严重程度之间的因果关系,由辐射照射值和后处理副作用的多层面矢量加以总结,这是辐射肿瘤学的临床利益问题。作出可解释的因果关系结论的适当战略是减少治疗的层面。如果多维治疗矢量的个别要素对结果影响微弱,但治疗和结果之间的总体关系是牢固的,那么,不小心减少尺寸的方法可能无法保持这种关系。此外,为回归问题制定的方法并不直接转换为因诊断并发症而产生的因果关系推断。在本文中,我们使用结构模型的半参数推论,为从整体角度减少多层面治疗的因果关系,从而保持治疗与结果之间的因果关系。我们通过模拟和辐射肿瘤学的实际数据应用来说明我们的建议的效用。