One of the main tasks of causal inference is estimating well-defined causal parameters. One of the main causal parameters is the average causal effect (ACE) - the expected value of the individual level causal effects in the target population. For binary treatments, the individual level causal effect is defined as contrast between potential outcomes. For continuous outcomes, however, there are many such contrasts in finite samples, thus hampering their use as a useful summary of the causal relationship. Here, we proposed a generalized version of the ACE, where individual level causal effects are defined as the derivative (with respect to the treatment) of the individual level causal dose-response function evaluated at treatment value that the individual has. This definition is equivalent to the conventional definition for binary treatments, but also incorporates continuous treatments. We demonstrate that this quantity can be estimated under conventional causal assumptions and illustrate the theoretical ideas with a simulation study.
翻译:因果推断的主要任务之一是估计明确界定的因果参数。主要因果参数之一是平均因果效应(ACE) -- -- 目标人群中个人一级因果效应的预期值。对于二进制治疗,个人一级因果效应被定义为潜在结果之间的对比。然而,对于连续的结果,在有限的样本中有许多这样的差异,从而阻碍了将这些差异用作因果关系的有用摘要。我们在此提议一个ACE的通用版本,其中个人一级因果效应被定义为个人一级因果-因果反应功能的衍生物(在治疗方面),根据个人的治疗价值对其进行评估。这一定义相当于二进制治疗的传统定义,但也包含持续的治疗。我们证明,这一数量可以在常规因果假设下估算,并通过模拟研究来说明理论思想。