The concept of conditional expectation is important in applications of probability and statistics in many areas such as reliability engineering, economy, finance, and actuarial sciences due to its property of being the best predictor of a random variable as a function of another random variable. This concept also is essential in the martingale theory and theory of Markov processes. Even though, there has been studied and published many interesting properties of conditional expectations with respect to a sigma-algebra generated by a random variable it remains an attractive subject having interesting applications in many fields. In this paper, we present some new properties of the conditional expectation of a random variable given another random variable and describe useful applications in problems of per-share-price of stock markets. The copula and dependence properties of conditional expectations as random variables are also studied. We present also some new equalities having interesting applications and results in martingale theory and Markov processes. Keywords: Conditional expectation, sigma algebra, per-share price, order statistics, prediction Conflicts of interest statement: We declare that have no conflicts of interest.
翻译:有条件期望的概念对于在可靠性工程、经济、金融和精算科学等许多领域应用概率和统计数据十分重要,因为它作为另一个随机变量的函数,是随机变量的最佳预测者。这个概念对于马丁格尔理论和马尔科夫过程的理论也至关重要。尽管已经研究并公布了许多关于随机变量产生的西格玛-阿尔格布拉的有条件期望的有趣特性,它在许多领域仍然具有吸引力,具有吸引性应用。在本文中,我们介绍了一个随机变量在另一个随机变量条件下的有条件预期的一些新特性,并描述了在股票市场每股价格问题上的有用应用。还研究了有条件期望作为随机变量的共和依赖性特性。我们还介绍了一些具有有趣的应用和结果的新的平等性,马丁格尔理论和马尔科夫过程。关键词:有条件期望、西格玛·阿尔格布拉、人均价格、订单统计、预测利益冲突声明:我们声明没有利益冲突。