Prolonged power outages debilitate the economy and threaten public health. Existing research is generally limited in its scope to a single event, an outage cause, or a region. Here, we provide one of the most comprehensive analyses of U.S. power outages for 2002--2017. We categorized all outage data collected under U.S. federal mandates into four outage causes and computed industry-standard reliability metrics. Our spatiotemporal analysis reveals six of the most resilient U.S. states since 2010, improvement of power resilience against natural hazards in the south and northeast regions, and a disproportionately large number of human attacks for its population in the Western Electricity Coordinating Council region. Our regression analysis identifies several statistically significant predictors and hypotheses for power resilience. Furthermore, we propose a novel framework for analyzing outage data using differential weighting and influential points to better understand power resilience. We share curated data and code as Supplementary Materials.
翻译:长期断电会削弱经济,威胁公众健康。现有研究的范围一般限于单一事件、断电原因或地区。在这里,我们提供2002-2017年美国断电最全面的分析之一。我们根据美国联邦授权收集的所有断电数据分为四个断电原因和计算工业标准可靠性指标。我们的时空分析揭示了2010年以来美国最具复原力的六个州,即:南部和东北部地区抵御自然灾害的能力有所提高,西部电力协调理事会地区人口遭受的人类袭击过大。我们的回归分析确定了数个具有统计意义的预测和假设,用于抵御电力。此外,我们提出了一个新的框架,用不同重量和有影响力的点来分析断电数据,以更好地了解电力弹性。我们分享了整理的数据和代码作为补充材料。