Dynamic treatment regimes (DTR) are a statistical paradigm in precision medicine which aim to optimize patient outcomes by individualizing treatments. At its simplest, a DTR may require only a single decision to be made; this special case is called an individualized treatment rule (ITR) and is often used to maximize short-term rewards. Generalized dynamic weighted ordinary least squares (G-dWOLS), a DTR estimation method that offers theoretical advantages such as double robustness of parameter estimators in the decision rules, has been recently extended to now accommodate categorical treatments. In this work, G-dWOLS is applied to longitudinal data to estimate an optimal ITR, which is demonstrated in simulations. This novel method is then applied to a population affected by HIV whereby an ITR for the administration of Interleukin 7 (IL-7) is devised to maximize the duration where the CD4 load is above a healthy threshold (500 cells/$\mu$L) while preventing the administration of unnecessary injections.
翻译:动态治疗制度(DTR)是精确医学的统计范式,其目的是通过将治疗个性化来优化病人的结果。在最简单的情况下,DTR可能只需要作出一个单一的决定;这一特殊案例被称为个性化治疗规则(ITR),并经常用于尽量扩大短期报酬。通用的动态加权普通最低方(G-dWOLS)是DTR估算方法,它提供理论优势,例如决定规则中的参数估计者具有双重可靠性,最近已经扩大到现在包括绝对治疗。在这项工作中,G-dWOLS应用纵向数据来估计最佳的 ITR,这一点在模拟中得到了证明。然后,这种新颖的方法适用于受艾滋病毒影响的人群,即设计用于Interleukin 7 (IL-7) 管理的ITR,以最大限度地延长CD4负荷超过健康阈值(500个细胞/$mu$L)的长度,同时防止不必要的注射。