人类双向选择行为的统计特征分析与预测方法研究

项目名称： 人类双向选择行为的统计特征分析与预测方法研究

项目编号： No.61503159

项目类型： 青年科学基金项目

立项/批准年度： 2016

项目学科： 自动化技术、计算机技术

项目作者： 周斌

作者单位： 江苏科技大学

项目金额： 21万元

中文摘要： 双向选择行为在人类社会中是非常普遍的。随着计算机和科学技术的不断发展,目前我们已经可以从人类社会中记录和获取关于双向选择行为的大数据。通过运用大数据和复杂性科学的研究方法和手段,探索和发现人类双向选择行为的内在机制和动力学模型,从而可以对现实中的双向选择行为进行分析和预测,对人类认知自然和社会应用都具有非常重要的意义和潜在价值。作为大数据和复杂性科学里面一个全新的研究领域,未来很可能会成为研究的热点。本项目将对现实中关于双向选择行为的大数据进行全面深入的统计分析,从各个角度来描述双向选择行为的统计特性,并基于新的建模思路,对这些统计特性的产生机制进行探索,提出具有普适意义的动力学模型,揭示影响双向选择行为特性的深层机制。进一步,本项目还将基于实际的双向选择系统,全面考察双向选择机制对社会动力学系统演化过程的影响,推广在商业贸易，大学生就业，婚姻匹配等领域的应用

中文关键词： 社会网络；人类行为；双向选择；行为预测；人类动力学

英文摘要： The phenomenon of bidirectional selection in human society is very universal.With the development of the science and technology ,especially in the computer, we now have the access to get very big data of bidirectional selection in human society. Through analyzing the big data with the method of complexity science network research, we can explore and discover the internal mechanisms and new dynamical models which can help us to analyse and predict real-world bidirectional selection system. This is very important significance and potential value to the human.cognition and social applications. As a new research area in big data and complexity science, in the future, the research of bidirectional selection system is likely to become very hot. In our item, we will analyze big data that records the two-selection behaviors,to find and describe the new properties using several new methods. And then we will propose several more deeply and more universal dynamical models to investigate the underlying mechanisms in the emergence of these statistical properties of bidirectional selection systems. Moreover, based on the real-world bidirectional selection systems, we will discuss the corresponding effects of bidirectional selection mechanisms and models on the dynamical evolution of several social systems. Furthermore, based on above findings, we will study the applications in several social systems, such as commercial trade, the graduate employment, marriage matching, and so on.

英文关键词： social network;human behavior;bidirectional selection;behavior prediction;human dynamics