In many observational studies in social science and medical applications, subjects or individuals are connected, and one unit's treatment and attributes may affect another unit's treatment and outcome, violating the stable unit treatment value assumption (SUTVA) and resulting in interference. To enable feasible inference, many previous works assume the ``exchangeability'' of interfering units, under which the effect of interference is captured by the number or ratio of treated neighbors. However, in many applications with distinctive units, interference is heterogeneous. In this paper, we focus on the partial interference setting, and restrict units to be exchangeable conditional on observable characteristics. Under this framework, we propose generalized augmented inverse propensity weighted (AIPW) estimators for general causal estimands that include direct treatment effects and spillover effects. We show that they are consistent, asymptotically normal, semiparametric efficient, and robust to heterogeneous interference as well as model misspecifications. We also apply our method to the Add Health dataset and find that smoking behavior exhibits interference on academic outcomes.
翻译:在许多社会科学和医疗应用的观察研究中,主体或个人相互关联,一个单位的治疗和属性可能影响另一个单位的治疗和结果,违反稳定的单位治疗价值假设(SUTPVA),并导致干扰。为了进行可行的推断,许多以前的工作假设干预单位的“可交换性”为“可交换性”,干预的影响由受治疗邻居的数量或比例所捕捉。然而,在许多使用独特单位的应用中,干扰是多种多样的。在本文件中,我们侧重于部分干扰设置,限制单位的可交换性以可观察到的特征为条件。在这个框架内,我们提议普遍增加反向偏移加权(AIPW)的估量,以包括直接治疗效应和溢出效应。我们表明,它们具有一致性,即即正常的、半对称效率,并且强于混合干扰以及模型性。我们还将我们的方法用于添加健康数据集,并发现吸烟行为会干扰学术结果。