Land Carbon verification has long been a challenge in the carbon credit market. Carbon verification methods currently available are expensive, and may generate low-quality credit. Scalable and accurate remote sensing techniques enable new approaches to monitor changes in Above Ground Biomass (AGB) and Soil Organic Carbon (SOC). The majority of state-of-the-art research employs remote sensing on AGB and SOC separately, although some studies indicate a positive correlation between the two. We intend to combine the two domains in our research to improve state-of-the-art total carbon estimation and to provide insight into the voluntary carbon trading market. We begin by establishing baseline model in our study area in Scotland, using state-of-the-art methodologies in the SOC and AGB domains. The effects of feature engineering techniques such as variance inflation factor and feature selection on machine learning models are then investigated. This is extended by combining predictor variables from the two domains. Finally, we leverage the possible correlation between AGB and SOC to establish a relationship between the two and propose novel models in an attempt outperform the state-of-the-art results. We compared three machine learning techniques, boosted regression tree, random forest, and xgboost. These techniques have been demonstrated to be the most effective in both domains.
翻译:长期以来,碳碳核查一直是碳信用市场的一个挑战,碳核查方法目前成本昂贵,并可能产生低质量信用。可扩展和准确的遥感技术使得能够采用新的方法来监测地表生物量和土壤有机碳的变化。大多数最先进的研究在AGB和SOC中分别使用遥感,尽管有些研究表明两者之间有正相关关系。我们打算将我们研究的两个领域结合起来,以改进最新水平的碳总估算,并对自愿碳交易市场进行深入了解。我们从在苏格兰的研究领域建立基线模型开始,在SOC和AGB领域采用最先进的方法。然后对地貌工程技术(如差异通胀系数和机器学习模型的特征选择)的影响进行调查。通过将两个领域的预测变量结合起来来扩大这一影响。最后,我们打算利用AGB和SOC之间的可能关联来建立两个领域之间的关系,并提议新的模型,以超越最新水平的结果。我们比较了在SOC和AGB领域的三种最先进的机器学习技术,即升级的树、随机和随机的森林。我们比较了这些最有效的技术。