Prediction of MET Overexpression in Non-Small Cell Lung Adenocarcinomas from Hematoxylin and Eosin Images

MET protein overexpression is a targetable event in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and is the subject of active drug development. Challenges in identifying patients for these therapies include lack of access to validated testing, such as standardized immunohistochemistry (IHC) assessment, and consumption of valuable tissue for a single gene/protein assay. Development of pre-screening algorithms using routinely available digitized hematoxylin and eosin (H&E)-stained slides to predict MET overexpression could promote testing for those who will benefit most. While assessment of MET expression using IHC is currently not routinely performed in NSCLC, next-generation sequencing is common and in some cases includes RNA expression panel testing. In this work, we leveraged a large database of matched H&E slides and RNA expression data to train a weakly supervised model to predict MET RNA overexpression directly from H&E images. This model was evaluated on an independent holdout test set of 300 over-expressed and 289 normal patients, demonstrating an ROC-AUC of 0.70 (95th percentile interval: 0.66 - 0.74) with stable performance characteristics across different patient clinical variables and robust to synthetic noise on the test set. These results suggest that H&E-based predictive models could be useful to prioritize patients for confirmatory testing of MET protein or MET gene expression status.