We present a random utility maximisation (RUM) based discrete choice model to simultaneously consider three behavioural aspects of the decision-maker - i) evaluation of each attribute (e.g., constant marginal utility beyond attribute thresholds), ii) aggregation of attributes in the systematic part of the indirect utility, and iii) flexible substitution patterns between alternatives. Corresponding to each aspect, we use i) fuzzy membership functions to capture how the decision-maker evaluates a range of attributes, ii) replace the weighted-sum aggregation function in the indirect utility with the Choquet integral (CI) to capture non-linear interactions between attributes, and iii) adopt multinomial probit (MNP) choice probability kernel to represent flexible substitution patterns between alternatives. We estimate the proposed model using a constrained maximum likelihood estimator. A comprehensive Monte Carlo study is performed to establish the statistical properties of the estimator and demonstrate the superiority of the proposed model over the traditional MNP model with weighted sum indirect utility in terms of goodness of fit and recovery of marginal effects. Note that the proposed CI-based specification provides complementarity between pairs of attributes coupled with their individual importance ranking as a by-product of the estimation. This information could potentially help policymakers in making policies to improve the preference level for an alternative. The advantages of considering attribute cut-off based non-compensatory behaviour and a flexible aggregation function are illustrated in an empirical application to understand New Yorkers' preferences towards mobility-on-demand services.


翻译:我们提出了一个基于随机效用最大化(RUM)的离散选择模式,以同时考虑决策者的三种行为方面 -- -- 即对每个属性的评价(例如,超出属性阈值的固定边际效用),(二)对间接效用的系统部分的属性汇总,以及(三)各种替代方法之间的灵活替代模式。根据每个方面,我们使用一个模糊的会籍功能来捕捉决策者如何评价一系列属性,(二)用Choquet综合工具取代间接效用中的加权和总和功能,以捕捉各属性之间的非线性互动,以及(三)采用多数值的准比特(MNP)选择概率(MNP)的概率内核,以代表其他功能之间的灵活替代模式。我们使用一个受限制的最大可能性估计者对拟议模式进行估算。我们进行了一个全面的蒙特卡洛研究,以确立估计标准值的统计属性,并展示拟议模式优于传统的MNPP模式的优势,在合适和收回边际效应方面具有加权和间接的优势。注意到拟议的CI性规格说明为在替代性政策中的互补性提供了互补性,使基于实际价值的风险评估具有潜在价值。

0
下载
关闭预览

相关内容

专知会员服务
15+阅读 · 2020年11月8日
FlowQA: Grasping Flow in History for Conversational Machine Comprehension
专知会员服务
25+阅读 · 2019年10月18日
已删除
将门创投
3+阅读 · 2019年9月4日
Random Forests for dependent data
Arxiv
0+阅读 · 2021年6月28日
Arxiv
0+阅读 · 2021年6月28日
Arxiv
0+阅读 · 2021年6月24日
VIP会员
相关资讯
已删除
将门创投
3+阅读 · 2019年9月4日
Top
微信扫码咨询专知VIP会员