Understanding causal mechanisms is crucial for explaining and generalizing empirical phenomena. Causal mediation analysis offers statistical techniques to quantify the mediation effects. Although numerous methods have been developed for causal inference more broadly, the methodological toolkit for causal mediation analysis remains limited. Current methods often require multiple ignorability assumptions or sophisticated research designs. In this paper, we introduce an alternative identification strategy that enables the simultaneous identification and estimation of treatment and mediation effects. By combining explicit and implicit mediation analysis, this strategy leverages heterogeneous treatment effects and does not require addressing some unobserved confounders. Monte Carlo simulations demonstrate that the method is more accurate and precise across various scenarios. To illustrate the efficiency and efficacy of our method, we apply it to estimate the causal mediation effects in two studies with distinct data structures, focusing on common pool resource governance and voting information.
翻译:理解因果机制对于解释和推广经验现象至关重要。因果中介分析提供了量化中介效应的统计技术。尽管因果推断领域已发展出众多方法,但因果中介分析的方法工具箱仍然有限。现有方法通常需要多重可忽略性假设或复杂的研究设计。本文提出一种替代识别策略,能够同时识别和估计处理效应与中介效应。通过结合显性与隐式中介分析,该策略利用异质性处理效应,且无需处理某些未观测混杂因素。蒙特卡洛模拟表明,该方法在不同情境下具有更高的准确性和精确度。为展示方法的效率与有效性,我们将其应用于两项具有不同数据结构的研究中估计因果中介效应,重点关注公共池塘资源治理和投票信息。