A Probabilistic Bound for Peak Age of Information Guarantee

This paper considers the distribution of a general peak age of information (AoI) model and develops a general analysis approach for probabilistic performance guarantee from the time-domain perspective. Firstly, a general relationship between the peak AoI and the inter-arrival and service times of packets is revealed. With the help of martingale theory, a probabilistic bound on the peak AoI is then derived for the general case of endogenous independently and identically distributed increments in information generation and transmission processes. Thereafter, the application of the obtained bound is illustrated with the M/M/1 and D/M/1 queuing models. The validity of the proposed bound is finally examined with numerical results.