With more and more data being collected, data-driven modeling methods have been gaining in popularity in recent years. While physically sound, classical gray-box models are often cumbersome to identify and scale, and their accuracy might be hindered by their limited expressiveness. On the other hand, classical black-box methods, typically relying on Neural Networks (NNs) nowadays, often achieve impressive performance, even at scale, by deriving statistical patterns from data. However, they remain completely oblivious to the underlying physical laws, which may lead to potentially catastrophic failures if decisions for real-world physical systems are based on them. Physically Consistent Neural Networks (PCNNs) were recently developed to address these aforementioned issues, ensuring physical consistency while still leveraging NNs to attain state-of-the-art accuracy. In this work, we scale PCNNs to model building temperature dynamics and propose a thorough comparison with classical gray-box and black-box methods. More precisely, we design three distinct PCNN extensions, thereby exemplifying the modularity and flexibility of the architecture, and formally prove their physical consistency. In the presented case study, PCNNs are shown to achieve state-of-the-art accuracy, even outperforming classical NN-based models despite their constrained structure. Our investigations furthermore provide a clear illustration of NNs achieving seemingly good performance while remaining completely physics-agnostic, which can be misleading in practice. While this performance comes at the cost of computational complexity, PCNNs on the other hand show accuracy improvements of 17-35% compared to all other physically consistent methods, paving the way for scalable physically consistent models with state-of-the-art performance.
翻译:随着越来越多的数据的收集,近年来数据驱动的模型方法越来越受到欢迎。虽然在物理上是健全的,但古典灰箱模型往往难以识别和规模,其准确性可能受到其有限的表达性的影响。另一方面,古典黑箱方法,通常依赖神经网络(NNs),往往通过从数据中得出统计模式而取得令人印象深刻的性能。然而,它们仍然完全无视基本的物理法则,如果真实世界物理系统的决定基于这些物理法则,可能会导致灾难性的失败。最近开发了有形一致的神经网络(PCNNS)以解决上述问题,确保物理一致性,同时仍然利用NNS实现最新准确性。在这项工作中,我们将PCNNS升级成模型模型建模温度动态模型,并提议与古典灰箱和黑箱方法进行彻底比较。更准确地说,我们设计了三种截然不同的PCNNNF扩展模型,从而展示了州结构的所有模块和灵活性,并正式证明了它们的实际一致性。在所介绍的案例研究中,PCNNS(PCNNS)的物理精确性网络运行状况显示,同时展示了其它的精确性业绩,同时也展示了我们的精确性模型。