This paper proposes an agent-based simulation of a presidential election, inspired by the French 2017 presidential election. The simulation is based on data extracted from polls, media coverage, and Twitter. The main contribution is to consider the impact of scandals and media bashing on the result of the election. In particular, it is shown that scandals can lead to higher abstention at the election, as voters have no relevant candidate left to vote for. The simulation is implemented in Unity 3D and is available to play online.
翻译:本文提议在法国2017年总统选举的启发下,对总统选举进行代理模拟。模拟基于从民意调查、媒体报道和Twitter中提取的数据。主要贡献是考虑丑闻和媒体抨击选举结果的影响。特别是,丑闻可能导致选举弃权率上升,因为选民没有相关候选人可以投票。模拟在团结3D中实施,可以在网上播放。