基于多智能体的城市人群流动动态模拟模型研究

项目名称： 基于多智能体的城市人群流动动态模拟模型研究

项目编号： No.40801060

项目类型： 青年科学基金项目

立项/批准年度： 2009

项目学科： 金属学与金属工艺

项目作者： 陈鹏

作者单位： 同济大学

项目金额： 17万元

中文摘要： 本课题围绕着基于多智能体的城市人群流动动态微观模拟模型、模型模拟实验和模型实例应用，系统地研究了基于多智能体的人群动态建模仿真理论与方法，结合问卷调查数据，基于矢量数据形式建立了行人智能体模型，该模型考虑了不同结构形式的空间环境对行人运动行为的影响和行人智能体群体中的交互，改进了现有基于多智能体的人流动态模拟模型；利用Java语言开发了多智能主体系统模拟系统软件实验平台，以上海市的开放型广场为对象进行模拟实验，模拟结果与实地录像采集的人群运动过程数据在统计特征（空间分布形态、时间过程）上相似；针对上海市万人体育馆的观众散场过程和世博会部分场馆的人群排队入馆过程进行模拟模型的应用。本课题的研究工作有助于城市复杂系统的结构和机制研究从宏观向微观精细化的发展，其成果既可为城市的形态与未来规划提供理论借鉴，也可为城市公共安全预案以及交通微观仿真提供参考。 本课题在国内外重要核心学术期刊和国际会议发表论文10篇,其中论文被SCI收录1篇，EI 收录4 篇。参加国际会议2次。课题成果申请专利2项，获得软件著作权1项。课题资助城市系统复杂性研究方向的博士学位论文1篇，硕士学位论文2篇。

中文关键词： 多智能体；城市人流；模拟模型

英文摘要： This project aims to urban pedestrian flow simulation, especially its spatial evolution and temporal process. This project develop modelling theory and methodology based on multi-agent for pedestrian movement simulation. Three parts are consulted to improve the agent-based micro-simulation model, vector model to describe pedestrian behaviors, urban spatial structure influence to pedestrian behaviors, and interaction mechanism in pedestrian agents. Then the model were be developed into software and adjusted by the simulation experiment of pedestrian flow on public plaza of Shanghai. At last, it was applied into two simulation cases, the scattering process of spectator agents in Shanghai stadium and waiting queue in Shanghai World Expo. This project will provide a promotion to complexity research on the urban system structure and mechanism at a fine spatial scale from macro scale. The contributions of this project will provide a new idea for urban patterns simulation and urban planning, and it can also be a reference to urban public security scheme and traffic microsimulaton. Under the support of this grant, 10 papers are published, 1 is cited by SCI and 4 by EI. Some achievement applied for 2 patents and 1 software copyrights. 3 dissertations were supported by this project, 1 for PhD and 2 for Master degree.

英文关键词： multi-agent; urban pedestrian flow;