中国农村人力资本积累面临新问题的反馈动态复杂性系统仿真研究

项目名称： 中国农村人力资本积累面临新问题的反馈动态复杂性系统仿真研究

项目编号： No.70801067

项目类型： 青年科学基金项目

立项/批准年度： 2009

项目学科： 金属学与金属工艺

项目作者： 贾晓菁

作者单位： 中央财经大学

项目金额： 16.5万元

中文摘要： 《中国农村人力资本积累面临新问题的反馈动态复杂性系统仿真研究》是定位于应用基础研究的青年基金项目，项目始终遵循理论与实际应用紧密结合的研究路径，基于农村实践基地，特别是江西农村规模养殖基地的人力资源状况，发展了应用基础研究国家基金理论研究与基地建设相结合的顶天立地研究模式，在帮助农村解决发展中的实际问题中发展出科学理论成果。通过考察江西农村人力资本积累对经济社会发展的作用，特别是目前低下的人力资本水平和不合理的人力资本结构对规模养殖循环经济发展的制约，研究出一套反馈复杂系统理论方法系：《自然人造复合系统的开发原理与途径- - 以区域大中型沼气能源工程系统开发为例》。开展了《基于系统动力学创建养种生物质能产业的理论应用研究》，《MBA项目评价与改进系统的反馈动态复杂性分析》、《The SD Model of Process Management of The Software Development Project and Its Simulation》。整个项目研究发表期刊论文6篇，EI收录4篇，申请专利4个，获省级科技进步奖一项，并应邀在国际、全国学术会议大会上报告研究结果。

中文关键词： 系统动力学；农村人力资本；反馈动态分析；系统仿真

英文摘要： "the feedback dynamics complex system simulation research on the new problems of human capital accumulation in Chinese rural area" is an application and basic research project supported by NSFC.The project always follow the research path combining the theory and practice. We have developed the research pattern combining theory research of NSFC application and basic project with base construct. The science theory was come from the practical issue in helping the countrysides' developing. We investigate the great impact of rural human capital accumulation to the developing of economy and society, especially the restriction of the low human capital and incorrect human resource construction. Then, a series of feedback complex system theory and method were proposed: "developing theory and approach of the natural and artificial complex system- - a case of regional large and medium-sized biogas engineering system development", "theory and application research on construction of planting and livestock breeding biomass energy industry based on system dynamics", "the feedback dynamics complex analysis of the evaluation and improving system of MBA program" and "the SD model of process management of the software development project and its simulaiton", etc. On the project funded by NSFC, we have published six papers, in which 4 were indexed by IE. Some awards also get on this project including a Prize for Progress in Science and Technology of Jiangxi Province.

英文关键词： system dynamics; rural human capital; feedback dynamics analysis; system simulation