The energy transition through increased electrification has put the worlds attention on critical mineral exploration Even with increased investments a decrease in new discoveries has taken place over the last two decades Here I propose a solution to this problem where AI is implemented as the enabler of a rigorous scientific method for mineral exploration that aims to reduce cognitive bias and false positives drive down the cost of exploration I propose a new scientific method that is based on a philosophical approach founded on the principles of Bayesianism and falsification In this approach data acquisition is in the first place seen as a means to falsify human generated hypothesis Decision of what data to acquire next is quantified with verifiable metrics and based on rational decision making A practical protocol is provided that can be used as a template in any exploration campaign However in order to make this protocol practical various form of artificial intelligence are needed I will argue that the most important form are one novel unsupervised learning methods that collaborate with domain experts to better understand data and generate multiple competing geological hypotheses and two humanintheloop AI algorithms that can optimally plan various geological geophysical geochemical and drilling data acquisition where uncertainty reduction of geological hypothesis precedes the uncertainty reduction on grade and tonnage
翻译:通过电气化加速的能源转型使全球目光聚焦于关键矿产勘探。尽管投资增加,过去二十年中新发现的数量却呈下降趋势。本文针对此问题提出一种解决方案,即通过人工智能实现严格的科学方法,以减少认知偏差和误报,降低勘探成本。我提出一种基于贝叶斯主义与证伪原则哲学基础的新科学方法。该方法首先将数据获取视为证伪人类假设的手段,下一步数据获取的决策通过可验证的指标量化,并基于理性决策。本文提供了一套实用规程,可作为任何勘探活动的模板。然而,为使该规程切实可行,需要多种形式的人工智能技术。我认为最重要的形式包括:一、与领域专家协作的新型无监督学习方法,以更好地理解数据并生成多个竞争性地质假说;二、人机协同AI算法,能够优化规划地质、地球物理、地球化学及钻探数据的采集,其中地质假说的不确定性降低优先于品位与储量的不确定性降低。