Motivated by the literature on opinion dynamics and evolutionary game theory, we propose a novel mathematical framework to model the intertwined coevolution of opinions and decision-making in a complex social system. In the proposed framework, the members of a social community update their opinions and revise their actions as they learn of others' opinions shared on a communication channel, and observe of others' actions through an influence channel; these interactions determine a two-layer network structure. We offer an application of the proposed framework by tailoring it to study the adoption of a novel social norm, demonstrating that the model is able to capture the emergence of several real-world collective phenomena such as paradigm shifts and unpopular norms. Through the establishment of analytical conditions and Monte Carlo numerical simulations, we shed light on the role of the coupling between opinion dynamics and decision-making, and of the network structure, in shaping the emergence of complex collective behavior in social systems.
翻译:根据关于观点动态和进化游戏理论的文献,我们提出一个新的数学框架,以模拟复杂的社会体系中相互交织的意见和决策的演变。在拟议框架中,社会社区成员在了解他人在沟通渠道分享的意见时更新其意见并修改其行动,通过影响渠道观察他人的行动;这些互动决定了双层网络结构。我们通过调整拟议框架以研究采用新的社会规范来应用拟议框架,表明该模式能够捕捉若干现实世界集体现象的出现,例如范式转变和不受欢迎的规范。我们通过建立分析条件和蒙特卡洛数字模拟,阐明了舆论动态和决策以及网络结构在塑造社会体系中复杂的集体行为中的作用。