The purpose of this study is to propose a new index to measure and reflect China's investment activity in time, and to analyze the changes of China's investment activity in the past five years. This study first uses the NEZHA model for semantic representation, and expand the indicator system based on semantic similarity. Then we calculate China's investment activity index by using the network search data. This study shows that China's investment activity began to decline in 2019, rebounded for a period of time after the outbreak of COVID-19 in 2020, and then continued to maintain a downward trend. Private investment activity has declined significantly, while government investment activity has increased. Among the provinces in Chinese Mainland, the investment activity of economically developed provinces has decreased significantly, while the investment activity of some economically less developed provinces in the north and south is higher. After the outbreak of COVID-19, the investment period became shorter. Our research will provide timely investment information for the government, decision makers and managers, as well as provide other researchers who also pay attention to investment with a perspective other than investment in fixed asset.
翻译:本研究的目的是提出一种新的指数来测量和反映中国的投资活动,分析过去五年中国投资活动的变化。本研究首先使用NEZHA模型进行语义表示,并在语义相似性基础上扩展了指标体系。然后,通过使用网络搜索数据计算中国的投资活动指数。本研究表明,中国的投资活动在2019年开始下降,在2020年COVID-19爆发后经历了一段时间的反弹,然后继续保持下降趋势。私人投资活动显著下降,而政府投资活动增加。在中国内地的省份中,经济发达的省份的投资活动显著下降,而一些经济相对落后的南北省份的投资活动较高。COVID-19爆发后,投资周期缩短。我们的研究将为政府、决策者和管理者提供及时的投资信息,并为其他也关注投资的研究人员提供除固定资产以外的视角。