To answer the question of "Does everybody...?" in the context of performance on cognitive tasks, Haaf and Rouder (2017) developed a class of hierarchical Bayesian mixed models with varying levels of constraint on the individual effects. The models are then compared via Bayes factors, telling us which model best predicts the observed data. One common criticism of their method is that the observed data are assumed to be drawn from a normal distribution. However, for most cognitive tasks, the primary measure of performance is a response time, the distribution of which is well known to not be normal. In this technical note, I investigate the assumption of normality for two datasets in numerical cognition. Specifically, I show that using a shifted lognormal model for the response times does not change the overall pattern of inference. Further, since the model-estimated effects are now on a logarithmic scale, the interpretation of the modeling becomes more difficult, particularly because the estimated effect is now multiplicative rather than additive. As a result, I recommend that even though response times are not normally distributed in general, the simplification afforded by the Haaf and Rouder (2017) approach provides a pragmatic approach to modeling individual differences in cognitive tasks.
翻译:为了回答“每个人......”的问题,Haaf和Ruder(2017年)在认知任务业绩方面开发了一种等级等级的贝叶斯混合模型,对个别效果有不同程度的限制。然后通过Bayes因素对这些模型进行比较,告诉我们哪个模型最能预测观察到的数据。对其方法的共同批评是,观察到的数据假定是从正常分布中得出的。然而,对于大多数认知任务来说,主要的业绩衡量标准是反应时间,其分布众所周知并不正常。在这个技术说明中,我调查了两种数字兼容数据集的正常性假设。具体地说,我表明,对响应时间使用改变的逻辑异常模型并不改变总的推断模式。此外,由于模型估计的影响现在在逻辑尺度上,对模型的解释就变得更加困难了,特别是因为估计的效果现在是多倍,而不是添加。结果,我建议,即使通常不分配反应时间,但Haaf和Ruder(2017年)在认知任务上的不同时,也提供了一种务实的模型。