This paper develops a framework for incorporating prior information into sequential multiple testing procedures while maintaining asymptotic optimality. We define a weighted log-likelihood ratio (WLLR) as an additive modification of the standard LLR and use it to construct two new sequential tests: the Weighted Gap and Weighted Gap-Intersection procedures. We prove that both procedures provide strong control of the family-wise error rate. Our main theoretical contribution is to show that these weighted procedures are asymptotically optimal; their expected stopping times achieve the theoretical lower bound as the error probabilities vanish. This first-order optimality is shown to be robust, holding in high-dimensional regimes where the number of null hypotheses grows and in settings with random weights, provided that mild, interpretable conditions on the weight distribution are met.
翻译:本文提出了一种在保持渐近最优性的同时,将先验信息纳入序贯多重检验程序的框架。我们定义了加权对数似然比(WLLR)作为标准对数似然比的加法修正,并利用其构建了两种新的序贯检验方法:加权间隙(Weighted Gap)与加权间隙-交集(Weighted Gap-Intersection)程序。我们证明了这两种程序均能对族错误率提供强控制。主要的理论贡献在于表明这些加权程序具有渐近最优性:当错误概率趋近于零时,其期望停止时间达到理论下界。该一阶最优性被证明具有鲁棒性,在零假设数量增长的高维场景以及随机权重设置中均成立,前提是权重分布满足温和且可解释的条件。