The Extended Generalized Pareto Distribution (EGPD) (Naveau et al. 2016) is a family of distribution that has been introduced to model the full range of a positive random variable but with the lower and the upper tails distributed according to the peaks-over-threshold methodology. The aim of this article is to augment the scope of application of EGPD allowing the analyst to incorporate the effect of covariates on the model. In particular we introduce a specification where the parameters of EGPD can be modeled as additive functions of the covariates, e.g. space or time. As a related product we provide an add-on code written in R that it is flexible enough to implement the EGPD in a generic way, allowing to introduce new parametric forms. We show the potential of our add-on on the modeling of hourly rainfalls over the North-West region of France and discuss modeling strategies.
翻译:扩展通用帕雷托分布(EGPD)(Naveau等人,2016年)是一个分布式组合,已经推出,用于模拟所有一系列正随机变量,但根据峰值超值方法分布的下尾尾尾尾巴,本条的目的是扩大EGPD的适用范围,使分析员能够将共变效应纳入模型,特别是我们引入一个规格,将EGDD的参数作为共变数的添加功能,例如空间或时间,作为相关产品,我们以R形式提供了一个附加代码,其内容是,它足够灵活,能够以通用方式实施EGPD,允许采用新的参数表。我们展示了法国西北地区每小时降雨模型上加点的潜力,并讨论了模型战略。