Distinguishing long-memory behaviour from nonstationarity is challenging, as both produce slowly decaying sample autocovariances. Existing stationarity tests either fail to account for long-memory processes or exhibit poor empirical size, particularly near the boundary between stationarity and nonstationarity. We propose a new, parameter-free testing procedure based on the evaluation of periodograms across multiple epochs. The limiting distributions derived here are obtained under stationarity and nonstationarity assumptions and analytically tractable, expressed as finite sums of weighted independent $\chi^2$ random variables. Simulation studies indicate that the proposed method performs favorably compared to existing approaches.
翻译:区分长记忆行为与非平稳性具有挑战性,因为两者均会产生缓慢衰减的样本自协方差。现有平稳性检验方法要么未考虑长记忆过程,要么在经验尺度上表现不佳,尤其在平稳性与非平稳性边界附近。我们提出一种新的无参数检验方法,该方法基于对多个时段周期图的评估。本文推导的极限分布分别在平稳性与非平稳性假设下获得,且具有解析可处理性,可表达为加权独立$\chi^2$随机变量的有限和。仿真研究表明,所提方法相较于现有方法具有更优性能。