Information of 1.6 million patients identified as SARS-CoV-2 positive in Mexico is used to understand the relationship between comorbidities, symptoms, hospitalizations and deaths due to the COVID-19 disease. Using the presence or absence of these latter variables a clinical footprint for each patient is created. The risk, expected mortality and the prediction of death outcomes, among other relevant quantities, are obtained and analyzed by means of a multivariate Bernoulli distribution. The proposal considers all possible footprint combinations resulting in a robust model suitable for Bayesian inference.
翻译:在墨西哥,160万确诊为SARS-COV-2阳性病人的信息被用于了解并发症、症状、住院和COVID-19疾病造成的死亡之间的关系,利用这些变量的存在或不存在,为每个病人创造临床足迹,除其他相关数量外,风险、预期死亡率和死亡结果预测通过多变量Bernoulli分布方式获得和分析,提案考虑了所有可能的足迹组合,从而形成了一个适合于Bayesian推论的稳健模型。