Statisticians often use Monte Carlo methods to approximate probability distributions, primarily with Markov chain Monte Carlo and importance sampling. Sequential Monte Carlo samplers are a class of algorithms that combine both techniques to approximate distributions of interest and their normalizing constants. These samplers originate from particle filtering for state space models and have become general and scalable sampling techniques. This article describes sequential Monte Carlo samplers and their possible implementations, arguing that they remain under-used in statistics, despite their ability to perform sequential inference and to leverage parallel processing resources among other potential benefits.
翻译:统计学家经常使用蒙特卡洛方法来估计概率分布,主要是与Markov链条Monte Carlo和重要取样一起进行。按顺序排列的蒙特卡洛取样器是一种算法,既结合了各种技术,又结合了大致的利益分布及其正常常数。这些取样器来自国家空间模型的粒子过滤,已成为一般和可扩缩的取样技术。这一条描述了接连的蒙特卡洛取样器及其可能的执行情况,指出尽管它们有能力进行顺序推论并利用平行处理资源以及其他潜在效益,但它们在统计中仍然没有得到充分利用。