Longitudinal data analysis has been widely employed to examine between-individual differences in within-individual changes. One challenge of such analyses is that the rate-of-change is only available indirectly when change patterns are nonlinear with respect to time. Latent change score models (LCSMs), which can be employed to investigate the change in rate-of-change at the individual level, have been developed to address this challenge. We extend an existing LCSM with the Jenss-Bayley growth curve \cite[Chapter~18]{Grimm2016growth} and propose a novel expression for change scores that allows for (1) unequally-spaced study waves and (2) individual measurement occasions around each wave. We also extend the existing model to estimate the individual ratio of the growth acceleration (that largely determines the trajectory shape and is viewed as the most important parameter in the Jenss-Bayley model). We present the proposed model by a simulation study and a real-world data analysis. Our simulation study demonstrates that the proposed model can estimate the parameters unbiasedly and precisely and exhibit target confidence interval coverage. The simulation study also shows that the proposed model with the novel expression for the change scores outperforms the existing model. An empirical example using longitudinal reading scores shows that the model can estimate the individual ratio of the growth acceleration and generate individual rate-of-change in practice. We also provide the corresponding code for the proposed model.
翻译:纵向数据分析已被广泛用于检验个体内变化中的个体间差异。此类分析面临的一个挑战是:当变化模式相对于时间呈非线性时,变化率仅能间接获得。为应对这一挑战,研究者开发了潜在变化分数模型(LCSMs),该模型可用于探究个体层面的变化率变化。本研究基于Jenss-Bayley生长曲线(引用自Grimm2016growth第18章)扩展了现有LCSM,并提出了一种新的变化分数表达式,该表达式能够适应(1)非等距的研究波次和(2)各波次附近的个体测量时点。同时,我们将现有模型扩展至可估计个体增长加速度比率(该参数在Jenss-Bayley模型中被视为决定轨迹形态的最重要参数)。通过模拟研究和实际数据分析展示了所提出的模型。模拟研究表明:所提模型能够无偏且精确地估计参数,并达到目标置信区间覆盖率;同时证明采用新变化分数表达式的模型优于现有模型。基于纵向阅读分数的实证案例表明,该模型在实践中能够有效估计个体增长加速度比率并生成个体变化率。本文同时提供了所提模型的对应代码。