Predicting the future trajectories of pedestrians is a challenging problem that has a range of application, from crowd surveillance to autonomous driving. In literature, methods to approach pedestrian trajectory prediction have evolved, transitioning from physics-based models to data-driven models based on recurrent neural networks. In this work, we propose a new approach to pedestrian trajectory prediction, with the introduction of a novel 2D convolutional model. This new model outperforms recurrent models, and it achieves state-of-the-art results on the ETH and TrajNet datasets. We also present an effective system to represent pedestrian positions and powerful data augmentation techniques, such as the addition of Gaussian noise and the use of random rotations, which can be applied to any model. As an additional exploratory analysis, we present experimental results on the inclusion of occupancy methods to model social information, which empirically show that these methods are ineffective in capturing social interaction.
翻译:预测行人未来轨迹是一个具有从人群监视到自主驾驶等一系列应用的具有挑战性的问题。在文献中,行人轨迹预测方法已经演变,从物理模型过渡到基于经常性神经网络的数据驱动模型。在这项工作中,我们提出了行人轨迹预测新办法,引入了新型的2D演进模型。这一新模型优于经常性模型,在ETH和TrajNet数据集中取得了最先进的结果。我们还提出了一个代表行人位置和强大数据增强技术的有效系统,例如增加高斯噪音和使用随机旋转技术,这些技术可以应用于任何模型。作为额外的探索性分析,我们提出了将占用方法纳入社会信息模型的实验结果,这些实验性结果从经验上表明这些方法在捕捉社会互动方面是无效的。