A failure detection system is the first step towards predictive maintenance strategies. A popular data-driven method to detect incipient failures and anomalies is the training of normal behaviour models by applying a machine learning technique like feed-forward neural networks (FFNN) or extreme learning machines (ELM). However, the performance of any of these modelling techniques can be deteriorated by the unexpected rise of non-stationarities in the dynamic environment in which industrial assets operate. This unpredictable statistical change in the measured variable is known as concept drift. In this article a wind turbine maintenance case is presented, where non-stationarities of various kinds can happen unexpectedly. Such concept drift events are desired to be detected by means of statistical detectors and window-based approaches. However, in real complex systems, concept drifts are not as clear and evident as in artificially generated datasets. In order to evaluate the effectiveness of current drift detectors and also to design an appropriate novel technique for this specific industrial application, it is essential to dispose beforehand of a characterization of the existent drifts. Under the lack of information in this regard, a methodology for labelling concept drift events in the lifetime of wind turbines is proposed. This methodology will facilitate the creation of a drift database that will serve both as a training ground for concept drift detectors and as a valuable information to enhance the knowledge about maintenance of complex systems.
翻译:故障检测系统是预测性维护战略的第一步。一种流行的数据驱动方法,用以检测初发故障和异常现象,是培训正常行为模式,采用机械学习技术,例如饲料前神经网络或极端学习机器(ELM),但是,由于工业资产运行的动态环境中的非静止现象突然上升,所有这些建模技术的性能可能因工业资产运行的动态环境中的非静止现象突然上升而恶化。测量变量的这种不可预测的统计变化被称为概念漂移。在本条中,提出风轮机维护案例,其中各种非常态都可能意外发生。希望通过统计探测器和窗口方法来探测这种概念漂移事件。然而,在真正的复杂系统中,概念漂移并不象人工生成的数据集那样清楚和明显。为了评价目前的漂移探测器的有效性和为这一具体的工业应用设计适当的新技术,必须事先处理对现有漂流的定性。在这方面缺乏信息的情况下,为风轮机生命周期的漂移事件贴标签的方法,需要通过统计探测器和基于窗口的方法加以探测。但是,在实际复杂的系统中,概念的漂移没有清晰性概念,因此将促进关于流流动的知识。