An analysis of the COVID-19 epidemic is proposed on the basis of the epiMOX dashboard (publicly accessible at https://www.epimox.polimi.it) that deals with data of the epidemic trends and outbreaks in Italy from late February 2020. Our analysis provides an immediate appreciation of the past epidemic development, together with its current trends by fostering a deeper interpretation of available data through several critical epidemic indicators. In addition, we complement the epiMOX dashboard with a predictive tool based on an epidemiological compartmental model, named SUIHTER, for the forecast on the near future epidemic evolution.
翻译:根据关于意大利2020年2月底以来疫情趋势和疫情爆发的数据的CoVID-19流行病仪表板(可在https://www.epimox.polimi.it上公开查阅),建议对COVID-19流行病进行分析,我们的分析通过若干关键的流行病指标促进更深入地解释现有数据,从而立即了解以往的疫情发展情况及其当前趋势,此外,我们用一个预测工具补充CindMOX仪板板,该工具以流行病分包模型为基础,名为SUIHTER,用于预测近期的流行病演变。