Composite probability models have shown very promising results for modeling claim severity data comprised of small, moderate, and large losses. In this paper, we introduce three classes of parametric composite regression models with a varying threshold. We consider the Lognormal distribution for the head and the Burr, the Stoppa and the generalized log-Moyal (GlogM) distributions for the tail part of the composite family. Further, the Mode-Matching procedure has been utilized for the composition of the two densities. To capture the heterogeneous behavior of the policyholder's characteristics, covariates are introduced into the scale parameter of the tail distribution. Finally, the applicability of the proposed models has been shown using a real-world insurance data set.
翻译:综合概率模型在模拟索赔严重程度数据时显示了非常有希望的结果,数据包括小、中、大损失。在本文中,我们引入了三类参数综合回归模型,其阈值各不相同。我们考虑了合成家庭尾部头部和Burr、Stoppa和通用日志-Moyal(GlogM)分布的Log正常分布。此外,在两种密度的构成中使用了模式匹配程序。为了了解投保人特性的不同行为,在尾部分布的尺度参数中引入了共变。最后,已经用真实世界保险数据集展示了拟议模型的适用性。