In this paper, we propose an Adaptive Realized Hyperbolic GARCH (A-Realized HYGARCH) process to model the long memory of high-frequency time series with possible structural breaks. The structural change is modeled by allowing the intercept to follow the smooth and flexible function form introduced by Gallant (1984). In addition, stability conditions of the process are investigated. A Monte Carlo study is investigated in order to illustrate the performance of the A-Realized HYGARCH process compared to the Realized HYGARCH with or without structural change.
翻译:在本文中,我们建议采用适应性实现超双曲GARCH(A-Realized HyGARCH)进程,模拟高频时间序列的长记忆,并视可能出现结构性断裂;结构变化的模式是允许拦截时采用Gallant(1984年)采用的平稳和灵活的功能形式;此外,对这一过程的稳定条件进行调查;对蒙特卡洛的研究进行了调查,以说明与实现的HYGARCH进程相比,与实现的HYGARCH相比,与结构变化或不发生结构变化的情况相比,A-Realized HyGARCH进程的绩效。