Algorithmic and statistical approaches to congressional redistricting are becoming increasingly valuable tools in courts and redistricting commissions for quantifying gerrymandering in the United States. While there is existing literature covering how various Markov chain Monte Carlo distributions differ in terms of projected electoral outcomes and geometric quantifiers of compactness, there is still work to be done on measuring similarities between different congressional redistricting plans. This paper briefly introduces an intuitive and interpretive measure of similarity, and a corresponding assignment matrix, that corresponds to the percentage of a state's area or population that stays in the same congressional district between two plans. We then show how to calculate this measure in polynomial time and briefly demonstrate some potential use-cases.
翻译:国会重新划分选区的分类和统计方法正日益成为法院和重新划分委员会中量化美国裂缝的日益宝贵的工具,虽然现有文献记载了马可夫连锁公司蒙特卡洛在选举结果预测和紧凑度数方面的各种分布差异,但在衡量不同国会重新划分选区计划之间的相似性方面仍有工作要做。本文简要介绍了一个相似性的直观和解释性计量,以及相应的分配矩阵,该矩阵相当于一国在国会同一选区中停留在两个计划之间的比例。然后我们展示如何在多年度时间内计算这一计量,并简要展示一些潜在的使用案例。